Wendy's Weekly STOCK MARKET Report "Stocks rally after the Federal Reserve policy statement"

 

FINANCIAL STOCK MARKET  WEEK "Stocks rally after the Federal Reserve policy statement" December 18, 2023

 

The Markets (as of market close December 15, 2023)

Last week saw stocks rally after the Federal Reserve policy statement released last Wednesday suggested no more interest rate hikes, while predicting rate cuts in 2024 (see below).  Despite losing momentum at the end of the week, stocks enjoyed their seventh consecutive week of gains, with the S&P 500 marking its longest winning streak since 2017 and the Dow's longest since 2018. Each of the market sectors ended the week higher, led by real estate, consumer discretionary, materials, and financials. Bond yields continued to be volatile, dropping 32.0 basis points as investors tried to determine the direction interest rates will take.  Crude oil prices ended a stretch of six weeks of losses.  The dollar registered its largest weekly drop in a month against a basket of currencies.

Wall Street began last week on a positive note as investors awaited the upcoming release of the latest inflation data and the Federal Reserve meeting.  Each of the benchmark indexes listed here closed higher last Monday, led by the Dow, the S&P 500, and the Global Dow, which each rose 0.4%.  The Russell 2000 and the Nasdaq inched up 0.2%. Ten-year Treasury yields slipped minimally to 4.23%.  Crude oil prices rose 0.3% to $71.45 per barrel.  The dollar ticked higher, while gold prices fell nearly 1.0%.

Markets closed generally higher last Tuesday. The Consumer Price Index (see below) showed inflation held steady with the Federal Reserve's final meeting of 2023 on tap for Wednesday. The Dow and the S&P 500 gained 0.5%, while the Nasdaq added 0.7%, with all three indexes closing at their highest levels since January 2022.  The Global Dow ticked up 0.2%, while the Russell 2000 dipped 0.1%.  Crude oil prices gave back recent gains, falling 3.6% to $68.73 per barrel.  Yields on 10-year Treasuries fell 3.3% to 4.20%.  The dollar fell 0.3%, while gold prices rose less than 0.1%.

Wall Street reacted favorably to the outcome of the Federal Reserve's meeting last Wednesday (see below) as stocks climbed to record highs.  Each of the benchmark indexes listed here posted solid gains led by the Russell 2000, which climbed 3.5%. The Dow, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 each rose 1.4%, while the Global Dow added 1.1%.  Ten-year Treasury yields fell to 4.03%, the lowest rate since August, while two-year yields tumbled 30.0 basis points to 4.43%, all in response to the Fed's statement.  Crude oil prices swung higher, closing at $69.74 per barrel after gaining 1.65%. The dollar fell 0.9%, while gold prices rose 2.3%.

Stocks continued to climb higher last Thursday as investors rode momentum from the Fed's aforementioned policy statement. The Dow jumped 0.4% to hit another record high, while the S&P 500 (0.3%) and the Nasdaq (0.2%) notched gains. But the interest-sensitive small caps of the Russell 2000 posted notable gains after advancing 2.7%, while the Global Dow rose 1.3%. Ten-year Treasuries dipped to 3.93%, falling below 4.0% for the first time since August. Crude oil prices rose 3.2% to $71.70 per barrel.  The dollar declined 0.9%, while gold prices climbed 2.7%.

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